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When Treasurer Joe Hockey handed down his second Federal Budget in May there were very few surprises.
In fact, News Corp Australia personal finance journalist Anthony Keane and financial advisor, author and investment specialist Bruce Brammall actually called it “the most boring Budget ever”.
But what does the Budget mean for property? Both owner-occupiers and investors probably won’t feel a great impact, with a perception of stability being the order of the day. There were a few notable absences – sustainable housing and housing affordability were barely touched.
There was much pre-budget talk of negative gearing and dipping into super to purchase property, but unfortunately for potential homebuyers, not a great deal actually happened in this area. When asked if the decision to abandon a super scheme was more a case of politics or policy, Brammall said that he doubts that the Treasurer and Prime Minister were ever actively considering including the idea in this Budget. However he thinks it’s for the best.
“The problem with governments when they try to make things more affordable, it often has the opposite effect.
State governments have a far better handle on housing affordability. The Victorian government’s solution of cutting stamp duty for first home owners is a safer option.”
When asked in what ways the Budget could address affordability, Brammall says the two factors that are key are interest rates and supply and demand, and the government can’t touch them. “There’s talk interest rates might continue to lower, which is good for business, great for borrowers and not so good for making houses any more affordable.”
He says a coalition government wouldn’t want to be seen “playing with the levers when it comes to property”. However, they do have at least one measure in place that addresses housing affordability – the National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS).
Hockey also introduced a new application fee for foreign buyers – $5000 for properties under $1 million and $10,000 for properties over $1 million. Both economists see this as a small step towards improving housing affordability but not drastic enough to put off foreign investors.
But both Brammall and Keane agree there’s one sure way to enhance affordability – remove negative gearing – however they both believe that it’s unlikely to happen with a coalition government.